{"id":209747,"date":"2026-05-06T13:23:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T17:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/06\/beyond-pdoom-for-ai-risk-quantifying-uncertainty-without-probability\/"},"modified":"2026-05-06T13:45:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T17:45:11","slug":"beyond-pdoom-for-ai-risk-quantifying-uncertainty-without-probability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/06\/beyond-pdoom-for-ai-risk-quantifying-uncertainty-without-probability\/","title":{"rendered":"Beyond P(doom) for AI Risk: Quantifying Uncertainty Without Probability"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cset.georgetown.edu\/publication\/beyond-pdoom-for-ai-risk-quantifying-uncertainty-without-probability\/\">Beyond P(doom) for AI Risk: Quantifying Uncertainty Without Probability<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cset.georgetown.edu\/publication\/beyond-pdoom-for-ai-risk-quantifying-uncertainty-without-probability\/\">https:\/\/cset.georgetown.edu\/publication\/beyond-pdoom-for-ai-risk-quantifying-uncertainty-without-probability\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Publish Date: <a href=\"publish_date]\">2026-05-06 13:23:00<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source Domain: <a href=\"cset.georgetown.edu\">cset.georgetown.edu<\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The article highlights the new risks introduced by artificial intelligence, which could be catastrophic or even existential in nature.<\/li>\n<li>Existing data and theory for assessing AI risks are insufficient; policymakers often rely on expert guesses.<\/li>\n<li>Traditional probability assessments may not be the best tools for understanding AI risks due to their inherent uncertainties.<\/li>\n<li>The report introduces Belief and Plausibility as an alternative, mathematically rigorous framework.<\/li>\n<li>This new approach uses familiar vocabulary and reduces the assessment process to just two simple questions for policymakers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Beyond P(doom) for AI Risk: Quantifying Uncertainty Without Probability https:\/\/cset.georgetown.edu\/publication\/beyond-pdoom-for-ai-risk-quantifying-uncertainty-without-probability\/ Publish Date: 2026-05-06 13:23:00 Source&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":209748,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/cset.georgetown.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/Beyond-Pdoom-for-AI-Risk_Social-Media-Card-700x366.png","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[20],"class_list":["post-209747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificial-intelligence"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209747"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=209747"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209747\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":209749,"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209747\/revisions\/209749"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/209748"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=209747"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=209747"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testing.news-you-need.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=209747"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}