Why AI Investors Need Data — Not Instinct — To Pick Winning States

Why AI Investors Need Data — Not Instinct — To Pick Winning States

Why AI Investors Need Data — Not Instinct — To Pick Winning States

https://www.forbes.com/sites/frankahrens/2026/05/18/why-ai-investors-need-data—not-instinct—to-pick-winning-states/

Publish Date: 2026-05-18 15:05:00

Source Domain: www.forbes.com

  • AI Investment Dominance: U.S. states led in AI venture capital investments in 2025, capturing 75% of the global total ($258 billion out of $427 billion).

  • High-Value Investments: AI infrastructure investments, especially from Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, are predicted to reach about $700 billion in 2026, focusing on large-scale data center and related infrastructure projects.

  • Potential Misallocation Concerns: Despite large investments, much capital deployment lacks precision, potentially leading to underperforming data centers, evidenced by Oracle’s significant stock drop.

  • Investment Categories: AI investments can be categorized into Physical AI (infrastructure like data centers) and Knowledge AI (human capital, R&D, university ecosystems, etc.).

  • State-level Analysis Importance: Detailed analysis of state-specific factors like energy costs, permitting speed, workforce availability, R&D tax credits, and quality of life are crucial for choosing optimal investment locations.

  • Multi-variable Ranking System: Comprehensive indices like BGR Analytics’ AI investment index evaluate states across numerous criteria to provide a holistic view of investment opportunities, highlighting Texas, Utah, and Florida as top contenders.

  • Need for Data-Driven Decisions: With growing investments, decisions based on a broad, multi-variable dataset rather than a single factor or state pitch are deemed the most responsible approach to mitigate investment risks.