CEOs see AI as the biggest business risk, exceeding geopolitical turmoil

CEOs see AI as the biggest business risk, exceeding geopolitical turmoil

CEOs see AI as the biggest business risk, exceeding geopolitical turmoil

https://www.cfodive.com/news/ceos-see-ai-biggest-business-risk-exceeding-geopolitical-turmoil-Fed-tariffs-cyber/813299/

Publish Date: 2026-02-26 16:20:00

Source Domain: www.cfodive.com

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  • AI Identified as Major Risk: For the first time, CEOs see artificial intelligence (AI) as the biggest risk to their industries, surpassing geopolitical turmoil, cyber intrusions, and financial instability, according to the Conference Board.

  • Increased Capital Spending Plans: CEOs are planning to significantly boost capital spending to address AI threats, with this intention surging to 35% this quarter from 22% last quarter.

  • Rising CEO Confidence: The share of CEOs expressing high confidence in the current quarter reached its highest level since Q1 2025, indicating restored optimism among large firm leaders.

  • Dual Risks of AI Investment: CEOs face a critical decision regarding AI investments. Investing too little risks falling behind competitors, while excessive investment may lead to poor returns and missing earnings targets.

  • Potential for Innovation and Disruption: AI promises to spark innovation and create new business opportunities, akin to the creative destruction described by economist Joseph Schumpeter.

  • Concerns About Job Displacement: AI may lead to job displacement preceding job creation, potentially causing a rise in unemployment and a decline in workforce participation, creating hardship for many.

  • Manufacturing Sector Impact: In manufacturing, AI could follow the path of past technological advancements, initially offering slower-than-expected returns, as highlighted by Fed Governor Michael Barr.

  • Tariffs’ Impact on Companies: Seventy-one percent of CEOs reported that tariffs imposed by the Trump administration increased costs for their companies, with 44% either passing these costs onto customers or planning to do so.

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